Independiente Chorrera vs Tierra Firme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MSM
2 - 1
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
IND
2 - 4
VIS
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
OES
0 - 3
IND
33%
25%
41%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
IND
3 - 2
NYC
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
VER
1 - 0
IND
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VIS
3 - 3
TIE
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TIE
4 - 1
NYC
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TIE
1 - 2
SUN
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
TIE
1 - 0
COS
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 2
TIE
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |