Independiente Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
22.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
2º
33
4º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
SLP
36%
30%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
IND
27%
29%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
DPR
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DFR
2 - 0
IND
26%
30%
44%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
SPB
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SLP
0 - 1
GIM
56%
26%
19%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 0
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
DPR
1 - 2
GIM
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 0
DFR
27%
26%
46%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 0
GIM
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |