Independente SP vs Nova Andradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
IND
0 - 0
ASS
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
ASS
0 - 0
IND
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 0
IND
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
IND
1 - 0
FRA
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Andradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FRA
4 - 1
NOV
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 0
FRA
27%
21%
51%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 0
IND
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ASS
0 - 2
NOV
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
AME
1 - 2
NOV
29%
23%
49%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |