Independente SP vs Grêmio Sãocarlense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 1
IND
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
IND
2 - 1
MOG
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
IND
2 - 2
RIO
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
GDS
0 - 0
IND
20%
21%
60%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 1
RIO
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
MOG
0 - 2
GDS
69%
17%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 0
ITA
20%
21%
59%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
GDS
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
GDS
0 - 0
IND
20%
21%
60%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |