Paulista B Segunda Fase. Jor. 1

Independente SP vs Francana analysis

Independente SP Francana
37 ELO 36
-5.3% Tilt -13.1%
21076º General ELO ranking 21075º
496º Country ELO ranking 495º
ELO win probability
45.3%
Independente SP
24.5%
Draw
30.2%
Francana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
Independente SP
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.2%
Win probability
Francana
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Independente SP
-38%
-3%
Francana

ELO progression

Independente SP
Francana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Independente SP
Independente SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jun. 2019
ITA
Itapirense
1 - 0
Independente SP
IND
42%
27%
31%
38 37 1 0
23 Jun. 2019
IND
Independente SP
2 - 0
Rio Branco SP
RIO
30%
26%
44%
36 45 9 +2
15 Jun. 2019
IND
Independente SP
4 - 1
União Barbarense
UNI
50%
24%
26%
35 33 2 +1
02 Jun. 2019
ECN
XV de Novembro
2 - 0
Independente SP
IND
38%
26%
36%
36 32 4 -1
26 May. 2019
IND
Independente SP
3 - 0
Brasilis
BFC
74%
16%
11%
36 18 18 0

Matches

Francana
Francana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jun. 2019
CAT
Catanduva
5 - 1
Francana
FRA
17%
19%
64%
38 26 12 0
23 Jun. 2019
FRA
Francana
2 - 3
Matonense
MAT
54%
24%
22%
39 31 8 -1
16 Jun. 2019
FRA
Francana
2 - 1
Inter de Bebedouro
BEB
51%
26%
23%
38 35 3 +1
02 Jun. 2019
CAT
Taquaritinga
2 - 5
Francana
FRA
25%
23%
52%
37 28 9 +1
26 May. 2019
FRA
Francana
2 - 0
Catanduvense
CAT
57%
23%
20%
37 28 9 0
X