Independente SP vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
VOT
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
IND
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 3
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
INT
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
IND
0 - 3
XVD
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VOT
3 - 2
FER
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
BAT
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
FER
79%
16%
6%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VOT
2 - 3
FER
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |