Independente AP vs Trem DC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ECM
1 - 2
IAP
19%
19%
63%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 6
IAP
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 1
ORC
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 0
SPM
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 1
YAP
61%
20%
20%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Trem DC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
TDC
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
TDC
1 - 2
YAP
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
PRI
2 - 1
TDC
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
TDC
6 - 0
SEC
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
TDC
4 - 1
SFC
64%
19%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |