Independente AC vs Santa Cruz PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
IAC
1 - 0
GAV
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
IAC
2 - 0
FRA
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
IAC
2 - 1
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
IAC
1 - 1
CAM
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
IAC
2 - 1
PAY
21%
21%
57%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Santa Cruz PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 1
SCP
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SCP
3 - 3
REM
18%
22%
61%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
SCP
2 - 4
PAY
9%
16%
75%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 0
SCP
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SCP
2 - 2
GAV
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |