Independente AC vs Gavião analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
IAC
2 - 0
FRA
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
IAC
2 - 1
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
IAC
1 - 1
CAM
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
IAC
2 - 1
PAY
21%
21%
57%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 1
IAC
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Gavião
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
GAV
1 - 1
CAM
19%
22%
60%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
3 - 1
GAV
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GAV
2 - 2
PAY
11%
18%
71%
|
18 | 57 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SCP
2 - 2
GAV
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
REM
4 - 0
GAV
81%
14%
6%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |