Incresa vs Corbera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+631%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PAP
6 - 0
INC
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
INC
0 - 1
SVH
48%
22%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
PAP
3 - 3
INC
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
INC
1 - 4
PAL
29%
24%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
OMO
4 - 3
INC
77%
13%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Corbera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CCF
6 - 0
TER
48%
20%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CCF
0 - 1
CER
83%
10%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
CCF
9%
16%
75%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
CCF
2 - 2
PAP
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
CCF
16%
19%
65%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |