Incresa vs Cervelló analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+602%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SES
5 - 2
INC
69%
16%
15%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
INC
1 - 2
CCF
12%
18%
70%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PAP
6 - 0
INC
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
INC
0 - 1
SVH
48%
22%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
PAP
3 - 3
INC
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cervelló
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CER
2 - 2
TER
18%
18%
64%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SES
3 - 0
CER
57%
19%
25%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CCF
0 - 1
CER
83%
10%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
CER
1 - 3
JUN
39%
23%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
SES
3 - 3
CER
69%
16%
16%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |