Incomáti vs LD Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
26.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incomáti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
IDX
48%
28%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
IDX
2 - 2
BBM
20%
27%
53%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
IDX
53%
27%
20%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
IDX
1 - 0
LIC
30%
28%
43%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
IDX
60%
24%
16%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
LD Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HCB
3 - 0
LIG
72%
19%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LIG
1 - 2
COS
27%
29%
44%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MDM
2 - 2
LIG
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
LIG
49%
28%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LIG
0 - 0
FEN
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |