Incomáti vs Ferroviário Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
25.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incomáti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2019 |
DMA
0 - 0
IDX
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
IDX
3 - 1
FER
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
IDX
44%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
IDX
1 - 1
FCC
40%
29%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
IDX
2 - 0
SCN
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
FER
2 - 0
FEN
49%
29%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LIG
1 - 0
FER
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
FER
33%
32%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
FER
3 - 0
FER
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FER
3 - 2
TEX
53%
27%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |