K-League Classic Normal Season Round 11

Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC analysis

Incheon United Gimcheon Sangmu FC
64 ELO 73
-11.1% Tilt -3.6%
536º General ELO ranking 1022º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.7%
Incheon United
26.4%
Draw
50.9%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
Incheon United
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
50.9%
Win probability
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Incheon United
+14%
+7%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC

ELO progression

Incheon United
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Incheon United
Incheon United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jul. 2020
ULS
Ulsan HD FC
4 - 1
Incheon United
INC
69%
20%
11%
65 81 16 0
01 Jul. 2020
SUW
Suwon FC
2 - 2
Incheon United
INC
39%
24%
37%
65 61 4 0
27 Jun. 2020
FCS
FC Seoul
1 - 0
Incheon United
INC
61%
23%
16%
65 73 8 0
21 Jun. 2020
INC
Incheon United
0 - 1
Busan I Park
BUS
34%
28%
38%
66 69 3 -1
17 Jun. 2020
GWA
Gwangju FC
2 - 1
Incheon United
INC
53%
25%
22%
66 70 4 0

Matches

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jul. 2020
SAN
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 - 0
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
JEO
16%
22%
62%
72 85 13 0
01 Jul. 2020
ULS
Ulsan Citizen
0 - 2
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
SAN
7%
12%
81%
72 53 19 0
28 Jun. 2020
SUW
Suwon Bluewings
0 - 1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
SAN
48%
26%
27%
72 74 2 0
20 Jun. 2020
SEO
Seongnam FC
0 - 1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
SAN
32%
28%
40%
71 70 1 +1
17 Jun. 2020
SAN
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 - 0
FC Seoul
FCS
38%
26%
36%
71 74 3 0