Imbabura vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
10º
2º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 1
IMB
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
IMB
1 - 1
CSV
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
IMB
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
IMB
0 - 3
INJ
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
IMB
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 3
MAN
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHA
69%
21%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 1
MAC
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
OCT
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 2
MAC
18%
28%
53%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |