Ilves vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ROP
0 - 0
ILV
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ILV
1 - 0
FFJ
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
INT
1 - 2
ILV
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ILV
2 - 0
KOO
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
HIF
2 - 2
ILV
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
HJK
0 - 0
KRA
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
HJK
1 - 1
HIF
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
KRA
5 - 1
HJK
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
IFK
5 - 1
HJK
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
HJK
1 - 0
FCL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |