Ilves II vs Espoon Palloseura FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
52.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
12º
9º
48
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCJ
5 - 0
ILV
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 2
GRI
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TAM
3 - 0
ILV
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ATL
5 - 0
ILV
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 3
IKI
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Espoon Palloseura FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
EPF
4 - 0
HJS
70%
18%
13%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
EPF
3 - 1
FCJ
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
GRI
2 - 5
EPF
58%
22%
19%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 0
EPF
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
EPF
4 - 1
HOA
22%
24%
55%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +3 |