Ilusión Algeciras vs Ud Bornense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
36%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilusión Algeciras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
FAC
1 - 1
ILU
48%
22%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ILU
2 - 1
PAG
70%
16%
13%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 2
ILU
27%
22%
51%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ILU
3 - 1
ALM
42%
23%
36%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
XER
3 - 2
ILU
29%
22%
49%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ud Bornense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UDB
1 - 0
CON
53%
20%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FAC
2 - 4
UDB
45%
22%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UDB
8 - 0
PAG
60%
19%
22%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 1
UDB
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UDB
3 - 2
ALM
32%
22%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |