Illichivets II vs Shakhtar Donetsk III analysis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

29.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%

24.8%

Draw

0-0

6.1%

1-1

11.7%

2-2

5.6%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

24.8%

46%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Illichivets II

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
20 May. 2009	OLI 2 - 1 ILL 76% 16% 9%	44	59	15	0
16 May. 2009	ILL 0 - 0 SHA 47% 26% 27%	43	48	5	+1
09 May. 2009	ARK 1 - 0 ILL 70% 19% 11%	44	57	13	-1
02 May. 2009	ILL 0 - 4 TYT 27% 26% 47%	44	58	14	0
26 Apr. 2009	STA 2 - 0 ILL 67% 20% 13%	45	55	10	-1

Matches

Shakhtar Donetsk III

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
20 May. 2009	SHD 3 - 0 OKM 70% 18% 12%	52	46	6	0
16 May. 2009	KRE 4 - 0 SHD 31% 25% 44%	53	44	9	-1
09 May. 2009	SEV 0 - 0 SHD 19% 23% 58%	53	37	16	0
02 May. 2009	SHD 2 - 6 OLI 49% 25% 27%	55	57	2	-2
26 Apr. 2009	SHA 0 - 0 SHD 32% 26% 42%	55	48	7	0