Illertissen vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 1
ILL
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
ILL
2 - 0
AUG
39%
24%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FCP
1 - 1
ILL
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ILL
2 - 1
EIC
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ILL
2 - 0
UNT
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
MUN
3 - 0
BAY
73%
17%
9%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BAY
0 - 3
SCH
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ROS
1 - 0
BAY
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 3
BUC
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
WAC
3 - 1
BAY
55%
22%
22%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |