Ilkeston Town FC vs Newcastle Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilkeston Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
RAI
1 - 4
ILK
14%
22%
65%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 3
ILK
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ILK
2 - 1
WOS
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
ILK
0 - 0
COA
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ILK
4 - 1
ROM
64%
20%
15%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 1
BRI
50%
22%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
COA
1 - 0
NEW
43%
24%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 1
SHE
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 4
GOO
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
RFC
5 - 2
NEW
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |