Ilkeston Town FC vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilkeston Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
KEN
3 - 2
ILK
14%
21%
65%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
BUX
0 - 0
ILK
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ILK
2 - 2
NOR
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
ILK
1 - 1
BUX
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 4
ILK
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BUX
0 - 2
HED
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HED
4 - 0
WHI
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
HED
3 - 0
BLY
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
HED
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
HED
2 - 1
KEN
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |