Iliturgi CF vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iliturgi CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ILI
4 - 1
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 0
ILI
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ILI
7 - 0
CPH
74%
16%
9%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 0
ILI
27%
25%
48%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ILI
2 - 1
BEA
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BAE
4 - 0
CDA
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CFS
0 - 2
BAE
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BAE
1 - 0
ESC
51%
23%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BAE
1 - 0
BAI
35%
23%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PUE
0 - 2
BAE
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |