Ilford FC vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilford FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
THA
3 - 0
ILF
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ILF
2 - 0
LFC
27%
26%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
WAL
0 - 1
ILF
44%
25%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ILF
0 - 1
CHA
29%
26%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
GRE
3 - 1
ILF
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
TIL
3 - 0
CHE
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
TIL
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
TIL
2 - 0
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
EAS
4 - 2
TIL
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
TIL
1 - 1
WHI
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |