Ilford FC vs East Thurrock United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilford FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LOW
0 - 1
ILF
68%
19%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
ENF
0 - 1
ILF
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ILF
2 - 0
HEY
18%
25%
57%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +4 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ILF
0 - 1
NOR
17%
25%
59%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ENF
0 - 1
ILF
70%
19%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
EAS
3 - 0
RED
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
EAS
1 - 2
BRE
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LFC
2 - 3
EAS
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
EAS
0 - 1
CON
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
EAS
2 - 3
AVE
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |