NPFL round 36

Ikorodu City vs Bayelsa United analysis

Ikorodu City Bayelsa United
51 ELO 69
18.1% Tilt -13.5%
5926º General ELO ranking 1513º
33º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
34.8%
Ikorodu City
26.8%
Draw
38.5%
Bayelsa United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
Ikorodu City
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.5%
Win probability
Bayelsa United
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Ikorodu City
Their league position
Bayelsa United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
20º
49
10º
19º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Remo Stars
71
72
100%
Rivers United
61
62
67%
Abia Warriors
60
61
67%
Ikorodu City
56
57
30%
Bendel Insurance
56
56
34.5%
Enyimba
55
56
18%
Plateau United
10º
51
55
17.5%
Kano Pillars
53
54
11%
Shooting Stars
11º
51
54
13.5%
Nasarawa United
52
53
10º
24%
Enugu Rangers
52
52
11º
16.5%
Kwara United
12º
50
51
12º
18.5%
Bayelsa United
13º
49
50
13º
22%
Niger Tornadoes
14º
48
49
14º
20.5%
Katsina United
15º
47
48
15º
20.5%
El Kanemi Warriors
16º
46
47
16º
25.5%
Heartland Owerri
17º
45
46
17º
39.5%
Akwa United
18º
44
45
18º
57%
Sunshine Stars
19º
41
42
19º
86%
Lobi Stars
20º
25
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ikorodu City
Bayelsa United
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
CAF Confederation Cup
30% 0%
Mid-table
70% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ikorodu City
Bayelsa United
Abia Warriors
Remo Stars
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ikorodu City
Ikorodu City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2025
AKW
Akwa United
2 - 1
Ikorodu City
ICF
66%
22%
13%
50 70 20 0
20 Apr. 2025
ELK
El Kanemi Warriors
1 - 1
Ikorodu City
ICF
61%
25%
15%
49 70 21 +1
13 Apr. 2025
ICF
Ikorodu City
3 - 0
Niger Tornadoes
NIG
32%
27%
42%
47 70 23 +2
10 Apr. 2025
ICF
Ikorodu City
6 - 0
Katsina United
KAT
35%
29%
36%
44 70 26 +3
06 Apr. 2025
SHO
Shooting Stars
0 - 0
Ikorodu City
ICF
66%
22%
12%
43 70 27 +1

Matches

Bayelsa United
Bayelsa United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2025
BAY
Bayelsa United
2 - 1
El Kanemi Warriors
ELK
53%
26%
22%
70 70 0 0
20 Apr. 2025
NIG
Niger Tornadoes
1 - 1
Bayelsa United
BAY
39%
31%
30%
70 69 1 0
11 Apr. 2025
BAY
Bayelsa United
3 - 0
Shooting Stars
SHO
53%
26%
22%
70 70 0 0
06 Apr. 2025
KAT
Katsina United
1 - 1
Bayelsa United
BAY
47%
28%
25%
70 70 0 0
26 Mar. 2025
BAY
Bayelsa United
1 - 0
Rivers United
RIV
55%
26%
20%
71 71 0 -1