Ikast FS vs Varde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ikast FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
ODE
2 - 1
IKA
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
IKA
1 - 1
AAF
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
JAM
4 - 2
IKA
43%
23%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
IKA
1 - 0
VEN
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
FYN
3 - 0
IKA
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 3
LYN
22%
20%
57%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 1
AAF
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VEN
3 - 1
VAR
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 4
BRA
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
RAN
5 - 0
VAR
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |