IK Zenith vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
68.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
14º
12º
44
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
59.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Zenith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
VFK
3 - 2
IKZ
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FBK
2 - 1
IKZ
80%
12%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
IKZ
0 - 2
GÖT
4%
13%
83%
|
21 | 78 | 57 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
IKZ
0 - 0
LID
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GAU
3 - 2
IKZ
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
SKS
65%
19%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
HER
0 - 2
SKO
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 0
HER
47%
21%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HER
3 - 1
VFK
70%
17%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FBK
3 - 2
HER
36%
22%
42%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |