Junkeren vs Frigg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
3º
1º
47
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 64 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 62 |
2º
|
72% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 52 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 44 |
4º
|
54% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 43 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
46.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 33 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 29 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 27 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 26 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 19 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
72.5% | 27.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27.5% | 72% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junkeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2025 |
IKJ
2 - 1
ULL
85%
10%
5%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2025 |
SIK
1 - 2
IKJ
11%
16%
73%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2025 |
IKJ
2 - 1
FLO
75%
14%
11%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
IKJ
0 - 4
KON
11%
15%
75%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
BAR
3 - 3
IKJ
36%
22%
43%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Frigg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 3
FRI
30%
22%
48%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2025 |
FRI
5 - 4
HAR
88%
8%
4%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2025 |
ALT
2 - 5
FRI
14%
17%
69%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
FRI
10 - 0
SOI
82%
11%
7%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
ILU
1 - 5
FRI
22%
20%
59%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |