Dutch Third Division Round 28

IJsselmeervogels vs Kozakken Boys analysis

IJsselmeervogels Kozakken Boys
42 ELO 47
4.8% Tilt 6.6%
1397º General ELO ranking 2918º
33º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
28.3%
IJsselmeervogels
24.5%
Draw
47.3%
Kozakken Boys

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
IJsselmeervogels
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.3%
Win probability
Kozakken Boys
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
IJsselmeervogels
+8%
+47%
Kozakken Boys

Points and table prediction

IJsselmeervogels
Their league position
Kozakken Boys
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
17º
16º
40
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Katwijk
71
71
100%
Rijnsburgse Boys
69
69
0%
Amsterdamsche FC
69
69
0%
HHC Hardenberg
60
60
0%
De Treffers
60
60
0%
Quick Boys
56
56
100%
Koninklijke HFC
55
55
100%
Scheveningen
45
45
100%
VV Noordwijk
43
43
100%
Jong Sparta
10º
43
43
10º
0%
Spakenburg
11º
43
43
11º
0%
Lisse
12º
42
42
12º
100%
Kozakken Boys
13º
40
40
13º
100%
Excelsior Maassluis
14º
39
39
14º
100%
SV TEC Tiel
15º
39
39
15º
100%
IJsselmeervogels
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Jong Volendam
17º
26
26
17º
100%
OFC Oostzaan
18º
20
20
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
IJsselmeervogels
Kozakken Boys
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

IJsselmeervogels
Kozakken Boys
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

IJsselmeervogels
IJsselmeervogels
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2023
SPA
Jong Sparta
1 - 3
IJsselmeervogels
IJS
67%
19%
15%
39 47 8 0
25 Mar. 2023
IJS
IJsselmeervogels
2 - 3
Koninklijke HFC
KON
31%
25%
44%
40 46 6 -1
11 Mar. 2023
KAT
Katwijk
4 - 0
IJsselmeervogels
IJS
76%
16%
8%
40 56 16 0
04 Mar. 2023
IJS
IJsselmeervogels
1 - 0
HHC Hardenberg
HHC
13%
19%
69%
39 54 15 +1
25 Feb. 2023
RIJ
Rijnsburgse Boys
4 - 1
IJsselmeervogels
IJS
79%
14%
7%
40 54 14 -1

Matches

Kozakken Boys
Kozakken Boys
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2023
KOZ
Kozakken Boys
3 - 1
De Treffers
DET
40%
25%
35%
47 49 2 0
25 Mar. 2023
AFC
Amsterdamsche FC
1 - 0
Kozakken Boys
KOZ
67%
19%
14%
47 56 9 0
11 Mar. 2023
KOZ
Kozakken Boys
2 - 0
OFC Oostzaan
OOS
65%
19%
16%
46 38 8 +1
04 Mar. 2023
QUI
Quick Boys
4 - 0
Kozakken Boys
KOZ
37%
25%
38%
48 45 3 -2
25 Feb. 2023
KOZ
Kozakken Boys
0 - 0
Scheveningen
SCH
68%
19%
13%
48 42 6 0