Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-2
IFK Norrköping vs Sliema Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
NOR
3 - 1
ELF
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1969 |
ORE
2 - 2
NOR
33%
26%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
DJU
3 - 1
NOR
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1969 |
NOR
0 - 2
SIR
81%
12%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1969 |
NOR
2 - 2
GAI
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
SLI
0 - 2
RAN
36%
22%
42%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
RAN
6 - 0
SLI
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
SLI
1 - 0
RUM
60%
19%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
RUM
2 - 1
SLI
52%
20%
28%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1966 |
CSK
4 - 0
SLI
71%
16%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |