Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 0-9
IFK Mariehamn vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Mariehamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
IFK
2 - 2
ILV
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
VAA
0 - 0
IFK
42%
28%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
IFK
5 - 0
INT
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
HJK
2 - 0
IFK
59%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
IFK
2 - 1
JJK
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
WAR
1 - 1
ARK
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
WAR
0 - 0
GDA
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
KOR
0 - 1
WAR
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 0
WAR
47%
25%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
WAR
2 - 0
LPO
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |