Karlshamn vs Vaxjo Norra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+309%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
14º
12º
22
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 53 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 44 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 41 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 40 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 39 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 33 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 33 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 31 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 30 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 26 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 68% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
36.5% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
IFK
4 - 3
RAP
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
TRE
3 - 0
IFK
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
0 - 4
KAR
26%
22%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
NOS
4 - 0
IFK
32%
22%
46%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 0
TRE
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vaxjo Norra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
VAX
1 - 0
IFK
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
RAP
0 - 3
VAX
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
VAX
2 - 3
TRE
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
LIN
2 - 0
VAX
41%
22%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
VAX
1 - 2
RAP
16%
19%
66%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |