Karlshamn vs Karlskrona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
51.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
14º
13º
32
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 55 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 49 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 43 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 42 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 41 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 30 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 30 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 30 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 29 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 28 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 28 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 48% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
NOS
4 - 0
IFK
32%
22%
46%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 0
TRE
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
4 - 2
IFK
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 3
IFK
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 0
KRI
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +3 |
Matches
Karlskrona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
1 - 3
KRI
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
OST
1 - 1
KAR
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
4 - 1
TOR
37%
23%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SOG
2 - 0
KAR
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 0
TRE
55%
20%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |