IF Elfsborg vs IK Sirius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
13º
3º
17
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 64 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 59 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 53 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 49 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 42 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 27 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 26 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
51% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
DEG
0 - 1
ELF
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ELF
2 - 0
NOR
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
MFF
2 - 1
ELF
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ELF
2 - 2
MJÄ
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
ELF
1 - 2
GAI
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
MFF
1 - 1
SIR
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SIR
0 - 3
BRO
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SIR
0 - 1
DJU
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 2
SIR
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SIR
3 - 1
SEI
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |