Älgarna vs Frösö IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
24.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
14º
14º
14
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Älgarna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BER
3 - 1
IFA
77%
14%
10%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IFA
1 - 3
OST
18%
18%
64%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
YIK
1 - 0
IFA
76%
13%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
IFA
0 - 4
LUC
43%
21%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 1
IFA
47%
21%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Frösö IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FIF
0 - 3
SKE
13%
17%
71%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KFF
0 - 3
FIF
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FIF
1 - 4
TAF
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BER
3 - 1
FIF
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
FIF
3 - 5
BER
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |