Idoya vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
SES
0 - 1
IDO
54%
25%
21%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 3
IDO
33%
26%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IDO
1 - 3
PAM
60%
22%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 3
IDO
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
IDO
0 - 3
UDM
41%
26%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LOU
0 - 1
PAM
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
LAG
2 - 1
LOU
38%
26%
36%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 1
UDM
41%
25%
35%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
HUA
1 - 2
LOU
43%
26%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LOU
2 - 1
AOI
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |