Ideal vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
RED
1 - 1
IDE
5%
13%
82%
|
37 | 5 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 1
LOU
39%
28%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
OLH
0 - 2
IDE
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
IDE
0 - 2
CAS
22%
26%
52%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
IDE
0 - 1
ARM
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
1DE
1 - 1
ARM
40%
28%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PRA
3 - 0
1DE
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
1DE
1 - 0
SAC
35%
29%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FER
1 - 2
1DE
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
1DE
1 - 0
VAS
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |