Icasa vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
ICA
2 - 1
TIR
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ICA
0 - 1
UNI
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2005 |
LIM
0 - 3
ICA
16%
21%
63%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ITA
0 - 3
ICA
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2005 |
FER
4 - 0
ICA
52%
22%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
QUI
2 - 1
ITA
49%
23%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 1
FER
23%
24%
54%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
QUI
2 - 0
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
TIR
1 - 1
QUI
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
QUI
0 - 3
FOR
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |