Icasa vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
ICA
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 0
ICA
50%
24%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 1
ICA
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 0
QUI
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 0
ICA
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 0
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
6 - 0
CRA
78%
15%
8%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FER
7 - 2
CRA
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
HOR
23%
22%
56%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |