Favoriten vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Favoriten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FAV
0 - 0
ICF
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ICF
1 - 3
POS
46%
24%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SVA
0 - 4
ICF
11%
18%
71%
|
26 | 5 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ICF
1 - 1
REN
69%
18%
14%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
DON
1 - 3
ICF
29%
23%
48%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 3
SCF
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
GER
1 - 2
FOR
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
GER
70%
17%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SIM
5 - 3
FOR
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 59 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 3
KSV
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |