Ibarra vs Maspalomas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
CPO
1 - 0
UDI
40%
26%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
UDI
3 - 3
LPA
37%
28%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SDT
2 - 1
UDI
63%
20%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
UDI
0 - 2
TEL
37%
29%
34%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
COM
2 - 1
UDI
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Maspalomas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
MAS
1 - 0
CAS
26%
25%
49%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
LAG
0 - 2
MAS
60%
24%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
MAS
0 - 3
AGA
39%
24%
36%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
AGU
1 - 2
MAS
53%
24%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
CPO
4 - 1
MAS
55%
25%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |