Ibach vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
48%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 1
IBA
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 0
SAR
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
IBA
0 - 0
ESC
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LOC
2 - 2
IBA
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
IBA
2 - 1
HOC
71%
18%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HER
0 - 0
LUG
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HER
3 - 3
TAV
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 2
HER
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 4
HER
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
LOC
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |