Ibach vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
IBA
2 - 0
RUS
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
HOC
3 - 2
IBA
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
IBA
3 - 0
MAL
67%
18%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GUN
0 - 5
IBA
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
IBA
2 - 1
CAS
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HER
1 - 3
HOC
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAL
1 - 1
HER
16%
18%
66%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HER
4 - 3
GUN
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
HER
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
GOL
40%
24%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |