Ibach vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
IBA
84%
12%
4%
|
25 | 65 | 40 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
IBA
2 - 0
WIL
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 0
IBA
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
IBA
0 - 0
ESC
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TAV
0 - 1
IBA
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GOL
7 - 0
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HOC
2 - 0
GOL
13%
17%
70%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GOL
5 - 2
TEA
66%
17%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 2
GOL
18%
19%
63%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GOL
6 - 0
KUS
82%
11%
7%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |