Hwaseong vs Yangju Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
HWA
0 - 0
PAJ
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
HWA
2 - 3
ANG
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DAE
0 - 1
HWA
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HWA
2 - 1
CHU
40%
27%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HWA
3 - 0
GAN
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Yangju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
YAN
1 - 1
BUS
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SIH
3 - 2
YAN
69%
20%
12%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
CHE
3 - 2
YAN
59%
23%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 0
YAN
59%
24%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
YAN
2 - 4
MOK
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |