Hwaseong vs Chungbuk Cheongju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
13º
10º
23
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 86 |
1º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 80 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 66 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 66 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 59 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 57 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 55 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 50 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 47 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 40 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 39 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 32 |
14º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
HWA
1 - 1
GYE
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
HWA
1 - 1
KOR
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SEO
2 - 0
HWA
29%
26%
46%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
HWA
2 - 1
BEI
21%
23%
56%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
HWA
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chungbuk Cheongju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
GIM
2 - 3
CHE
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
SEO
1 - 1
CHE
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
BUC
3 - 1
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 4
KOR
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CDR
3 - 0
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |