Hwange vs Black Mambas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
DYN
4 - 2
HWA
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
WWR
2 - 2
HWA
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HWA
1 - 0
BUF
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 0
HWA
54%
24%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HWA
1 - 1
FCP
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Black Mambas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 3
HIG
55%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 1
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DYN
4 - 1
BLA
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 1
BUF
48%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 1
BLA
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |