HVCH vs DESK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
4 - 3
HVC
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HVC
2 - 4
NEM
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GES
3 - 1
HVC
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HVC
0 - 0
BEE
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SCV
1 - 2
HVC
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
DESK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DES
3 - 2
EFC
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DES
1 - 0
DES
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
DES
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DES
1 - 4
GES
32%
23%
46%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
DES
4 - 1
TSC
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |