Hvardiyets Hvardiyske vs Bastion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
73.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 1
DES
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
YED
1 - 2
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 0
FCV
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ROS
2 - 3
BAS
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 2
MFK
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |